Before we know it, the 2024 NFL season will be kicking off and the race for the playoffs will begin.
The easiest way for a team to make the postseason is by clinching their division. For some teams, that ask is going to be tougher than for others. A few squads look like shoo ins to win their respective divisions while others will likely be a battle that will come down to the wire.
In this article, we're going to take a look at the odds for all 32 teams to win their respective divisions. To make things a bit more simple to understand, I'm going to translate the betting odds to implied probability. If you want to learn how to translate the odds yourself, take a look below to find out how.
How to calculate implied probability using American oddsIf the odds are positive: 100/(odds + 100)If the odds are negative: odds/(odds + 100)
Now, let's look at the implied probability of all 32 teams to win their division in 2024.
All odds listed in this article are via FanDuel Sportsbook.
AFC North Win ProbabilityRavens: 40.82%Bengals: 37.74%Browns: 18.18%Steelers: 11.76%AFC East Win ProbabilityBills: 37.74%Jets: 37.04%Dolphins: 31.25%Patriots: 3.85%AFC South Win ProbabilityTexans: 48.78%Jaguars: 27.02%Colts: 24.39%Titans: 9.52%AFC West Win ProbabilityChiefs: 69.7%Chargers: 22.22%Raiders: 10%Broncos: 4.76%NFC North Win ProbabilityLions: 41.67%Packers: 33.33%Bears: 25%Vikings: 9.09%NFC East Win ProbabilityEagles: 55.56%Cowboys: 37.74%Commanders: 9.09%Giants: 6.67%NFC South Win ProbabilityFalcons: 54.55%Buccaneers: 24.39%Saints: 20.83%Panthers: 9.09%NFC West Win Probability49ers: 65.52%Rams: 23.26%Seahawks: 12.5%Cardinals: 7.14%
The Kansas City Chiefs have the highest chance to win their division at 69.7%. The New England Patriots have the worst chance to win their division at 3.85%.
If you want to find out the probability for all 32 teams to make the playoffs, you can find that out here.
